Ma ka hola 11:10 o Nowemapa 8, ua hoʻokuʻu ʻia ka huahana polyester ethylene glycol o Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd. o Shaanxi Coal Group!ʻO kēia ka manawa mua e lawe ʻia ai nā huahana polyester grade ethylene glycol e Yulin Chemical Co., Ltd., e kū ana i nā koi o GB/T4649-2018, i Zhejiang Hengyi Group Co., Ltd., kahi hale hana polyester kaulana. ma Kina.
Ma hope o ka hāʻule ʻana o ke kumukūʻai a loaʻa i kahi haʻahaʻa hou i ka makahiki, ua komo ka ethylene glycol futures i ka pae hoʻohui i lalo.I kēia mau lā i hala iho nei, i hoʻohālikelike ʻia me ka PTA a me ka fiber staple i loko o ke kaulahao ʻoihana like, ua hoʻihoʻi ikaika ke kumu kūʻai o ka ethylene glycol, i ke alakaʻi ʻana i ka ʻāpana polyester holoʻokoʻa.ʻO ka nāwaliwali loa "ʻo ia" i loko o ka māhele polyester i wehe koke ʻia.He "iʻa paʻakai" anei?
I kēia mau lā, ke kumu kūʻai oethylene glycolrebounded ma kahi haʻahaʻa, alakaʻi i ka piʻi ʻana o ka hapa nui o nā kemika.Ma kēia mea, ua wehewehe ʻo Shi Jiaping, kahi loiloi koʻikoʻi o Huarui Information, ma kekahi ʻaoʻao, ʻoi aku ka maopopo o ka extrusion o ka ʻaoʻao hoʻolako ethylene glycol.I Nowemapa, ua hāʻule ka ukana hoʻomaka o ka ethylene glycol i ka 55% - 56%, aʻo ka haʻahaʻa hoʻomaka o ka ethylene glycol i hāʻule i ka 30% - 33%, he haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa.Ma kekahiʻaoʻao, ua hāʻule ke kumukūʻai o ka ethylene glycol i kahi haʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa, a ua haʻalele loa i ka loiloi.I kēia manawa, ua mahana ka manaʻo o ka mākeke, a pono e hoʻoponopono ʻia nā huahana me ka nui o ka loaʻa kālā i ka wā mua.
I kēia mau lā, ua hoʻohuli ʻia ka wā e hiki mai ana ka ethylene glycol a ala aʻe, he "kūʻokoʻa" ia i ka ʻāpana polyester.ʻO ka ʻoiaʻiʻo, he ʻano hoʻoponopono loiloi ma hope o ke kālepa ʻana i nā bet maikaʻi ʻole.I ka wā lōʻihi, he nui nā pūʻulu o nā mea hana i manaʻo ʻia e hoʻokomo ʻia i ka hana i ka wā e hiki mai ana.Eia nō naʻe, ma lalo o ia ʻano pessimistic, me ka lawe ʻana i nā waiwai liʻiliʻi ma ke awa a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka wā lōʻihi o ka ʻai ʻana mai nā kulekele macro, e hāʻawi lākou i kahi manawa piʻi no ka ethylene glycol i hoʻohaʻahaʻa ʻia.Mai nā hopena, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka piʻi ʻana o ka ethylene glycol ma mua o nā huahana polyester ʻē aʻe.
1. Hoʻonui hou ʻia ka mana hana, a ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol.
Wahi a ka In depth Analysis of China's Ethylene Glycol Industry Development and Future Investment Research Report (2022-2029) i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e Guanyan Report Network, i nā makahiki i hala iho nei, ua ulu wikiwiki ka ʻoihana ethylene glycol honua, me ka hiki ke hana ethylene glycol a me ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka makahiki. ma ka makahiki.I ka makahiki 2021, e hoʻonui ʻia ka mana hana ethylene glycol honua e 19.4% i kēlā me kēia makahiki, a e hoʻonui ʻia ka huahana e 7.5% i kēlā me kēia makahiki.Ma lalo o kēia ʻano, ke hoʻonui nei ka mana hana a me ka hoʻopuka ʻana o ka ʻoihana ethylene glycol Kina i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Ma ke ʻano o ka hiki ke hana, ʻoiai ke nānā nui nei ka ʻāina i ka ʻoihana ethylene glycol, alakaʻi kūpono a me nā kulekele kākoʻo e like me ka Formula for Encouraging the Promotion and Application of Technologies and Products in Petrochemical and Chemical Industry in 2021, the Guiding Opinions on Promoting ʻO ka hoʻomohala kiʻekiʻe o ka Petrochemical and Chemical Industry i ka "Hoʻolālā ʻumikumamāhā ʻelima mau makahiki" a me nā manaʻo alakaʻi e pili ana i ka hoʻomohala kiʻekiʻe o ka ʻenehana Fiber Chemical ma 2022 e hoʻokuʻu ʻia, a ke hoʻomau nei ka maikaʻi o nā kulekele ʻoihana, ethylene glycol o Kina. ke piʻi nei ka mana hana i kēlā me kēia makahiki.Wahi a ka ʻikepili, e piʻi aʻe ka mana hana ethylene glycol o Kina mai 8.32 miliona tons a i 21.45 miliona tons mai 2017 a 2021, me ka awelika o ka ulu ʻana o ka hui ʻana o ka makahiki ma kahi o 31%.
Ma ke ʻano o ka nui o ka hoʻohana ʻana, ua haʻahaʻa ka nui o ka hoʻohana ʻana o ka ethylene glycol ma Kina i kēia manawa, aia ma kahi o 68.63% ma 2017;E hoʻonui ia i 73.42% e 2019. Eia nō naʻe, mai 2020 a 2021, ma muli o ka hopena o ka hoʻokaʻawale ʻana i ka maʻi maʻi ma ka home, ka mālama ʻana i ka mea hana ethylene glycol, ka hoʻokaʻawale mana a me nā kumukūʻai lanahu kiʻekiʻe, haʻahaʻa ka ukana hoʻomaka ethylene glycol home, a ʻo ka holoʻokoʻa. Hoʻomaka ka emi ʻana o ka ʻoihana, ʻo ka hopena o ka hoʻohana ʻana o ka ethylene glycol ma Kina i hāʻule i 60.06% a me 55.01% i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala.
I ka ʻōlelo o ka hoʻopuka, me ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka mākeke ethylene glycol a me ka piʻi holoʻokoʻa o ka noi o lalo, hōʻike pū ka huahana i ke ʻano o ka ulu makahiki.Mai 2017 a i 2021, ua hoʻonui ʻia ka ethylene glycol o Kina mai 5.71 miliona tons a i 11.8 miliona tons, a ua hōʻike pū ʻia ka piʻi ʻana o ka ulu ulu ʻana i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala aku nei, i alakaʻi ʻia e ka ulu nui o kona hiki ke hana.I ka makahiki 2021, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka ulu ʻana o ka ethylene glycol o Kina ma kahi o 21.65% i kēlā me kēia makahiki, 2.63 pakeneka kiʻekiʻe ma mua o 2020.
Mai ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka mana hana ethylene glycol o Kina, hiki ke ʻike ʻia ua hoʻomaikaʻi hou ʻia ka mana hana ethylene glycol o Kina i nā makahiki ʻelima i hala iho nei, a aia ka ʻoihana i ka pae o ka ulu a me ka ulu ʻana.
Ma ke ʻano o ka hana ʻoihana, ʻekolu mau kaʻina hana nui o ka ethylene glycol ma Kina: hoʻohui (naphtha/ethylene process), MTO (methanol i olefin) a me ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol.I kēia manawa, ma muli o ka ʻenehana akamai loa o ka ʻaila i ka ethylene glycol ma Kina, ʻo ia ke ala kaʻina hana nui, ʻo ka mana hoʻolālā o ka aila a hiki i ka ethylene glycol helu no ka hapa kiʻekiʻe loa.I ka makahiki 2021, ʻoi aku ka nui o ka hana ʻana o ka aila i ka ethylene glycol ma Kina ma mua o 60%, a ʻoi aku ka nui o ka huahana ma mua o 7 miliona tons;ʻO ka lua ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol ʻenehana (ʻo ke ala lanahu e hoʻohana mua i ke kinoea synthesis, a laila e hoʻohana i ka wai a me carbon monoxide i loko o ke kinoea synthesis e like me nā mea maka no ka hoʻomākaukau ʻana i ka ethylene glycol), me ka mana o ka hana ʻana ma mua o 30% a ʻoi aku ka nui o ka 3 miliona tons.Ua piʻi ke kumukūʻai aila i nā makahiki ʻelua i hala iho nei, a ua ulu wikiwiki ka hana ʻana o ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol ma Kina.I ka makahiki 2021, e ulu ana ka hana lanahu i ka ethylene glycol ma Kina ma kahi o 50% o ka makahiki.No ka mea, loaʻa iā Kina ka ikehu o ka "ʻoi aku ka lanahu, ka liʻiliʻi o ke kinoea a me ka ʻaila liʻiliʻi", ʻo ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol ke ʻano o Kina ma ke ʻano o ka lako holoʻokoʻa o ka ethylene glycol ma Kina.I ka wā e hiki mai ana, hiki i ka lanahu o Kina i ka ethylene glycol ke ulu nui.
2. Nawaliwali a paakiki o Napeta
ʻO ka hāʻawi haʻahaʻa a me ke koi i alakaʻi ʻia i ka hana maikaʻi ʻole o ka ʻāpana ethylene glycol, a ua mau ka hana i loko o ka pae waiwai maikaʻi ʻole.I ka manawa like, ua lohi ka hana o kāna mau mea maka naphtha a me ka ethylene, e hoʻonāwaliwali ana ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai o ka ethylene glycol.
I ka ʻōlelo o ka mākeke honua no ka ethylene glycol raw material, naphtha integration account no ka hapa nui loa, a ukali ʻia e ke kinoea kūlohelohe a me ka hana ethane ma waho, a me ka hana lanahu ma Kina.ʻO ka hoʻohui ʻana ʻo Naphtha i kahi manawa hana me nā pōmaikaʻi koʻikoʻi, akā i kēia makahiki, ʻo ke kumu kūʻai aila ikaika a me ka hoʻohana nāwaliwali i alakaʻi ʻia i kahi poho piha i ka kaulahao ʻoihana olefin, ethylene cracking units hoʻemi i ka hana ʻana ma kahi nui, a me ke kumukūʻai aila naphtha. ʻokoʻa i hoʻokahi manawa i komo i kahi ʻano maikaʻi ʻole, ʻo ia ke ʻano o ke kumu kūʻai o ka huahana ma mua o nā mea maka, a ʻo ka hana ʻana i ka poho.I ka hopena o ʻOkakopa, ua loli ke kumukūʻai ma waena o ka naphtha a me ka ʻaila ʻaila ma kahi o ʻaʻole.ʻO ka nāwaliwali o ka naphtha ka mea e nele ai ka ethylene glycol i ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai.No laila, ma ke kaʻina o ka piʻi ʻana a me ka hāʻule ʻana o ke kumu kūʻai aila, hahai ka naphtha i ke kumukūʻai aila i lalo, a nalowale ka ethylene glycol i ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai.He kumu koʻikoʻi kēia no ka hoʻomau ʻana o ke kumukūʻai ethylene glycol mai ka hapaha ʻelua o kēia makahiki.
3. ʻAʻole hiki i ke kumu kūʻai lanahu ikaika ke kākoʻo i ka ethylene glycol
ʻO ka laina hana lanahu kahi hana hana ethylene glycol kūikawā ma Kina.I kēia manawa, ua hiki i ka 8.65 miliona tons ka nui o ka hana lanahu, ʻo ia ka 37% o ka nui o ka nui o ka home.ʻO ke kumu kūʻai o ka lanahu kemika he ʻano ikaika, a ke hana nei ia ma mua o 1100 yuan/ton no ka hapa nui o ka makahiki, a ua hiki aku ma mua o 1300 yuan/ton mai Kepakemapa.ʻO ka lilo o ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol ma mua o 1000 yuan/ton.No ka mea ʻokoʻa nā kumu o nā syngas i hoʻohana ʻia e kēlā me kēia ʻāpana, hiki ke hoʻopaʻapaʻa ʻia ka waiwai hana kikoʻī.Eia naʻe, ua poho ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol mai ka hapaha ʻelua o kēia makahiki, a ke hoʻomau nei ka pohō me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i nā kumukūʻai lanahu.Eia nō naʻe, hoʻohana kekahi mau mea kanu kemika lanahu i ke kinoea huelo umu coke no ka hana ʻana, no ka hana ʻana i nā ʻōpala a ʻaʻole pili i ke kumukūʻai lanahu;Eia kekahi, aia kekahi mau mea kākoʻo o nā ʻoihana lanahu.Ma ke kaʻina o ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai lanahu, ua waiwai nā waiwai o ka lanahu o luna, no laila ua hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ka ʻae ʻana o nā poho ethylene glycol i lalo.No laila, hiki iā mākou ke ʻike ʻoiai he ʻilihune ka loaʻa kālā o ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol i kēia makahiki, ʻoi aku ka liʻiliʻi o kāna ʻāpana e ka fluctuation o ka loaʻa kālā ke hoʻohālikelike ʻia me nā makahiki i hala.ʻO ka hoʻololi ʻana i ka catalyst makahiki a me nā pono mālama ʻē aʻe o ka ʻāpana i hoʻopaʻa ʻia i ke kolu o ka hapaha, i alakaʻi i ka emi wikiwiki o ka hana o ka lanahu i ka ethylene glycol.Ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, koe wale nō ka pani ʻana o kekahi mau ʻāpana mining maka o waho ma muli o nā pilikia o ka loaʻa kālā i ka makahiki, ʻoi aku ka paʻa o ka hana o nā ʻāpana lanahu i kēia makahiki, me ke kākoʻo palena ʻole no ka ethylene glycol.
Ke nānā nei i mua i ka wā e hiki mai ana, ʻo ka hāʻawi nāwaliwali a me ka manaʻolana koi e mālama i ke kumukūʻai o ka ethylene glycol ma lalo o ke kaomi.600000 tons o ka 1.8 miliona ton units ma Yulin, Shaanxi Coal Mine ua kauoha ʻia, a ʻo ke koena 1.2 miliona tons e hoʻolālā ʻia e hoʻokomo ʻia i ka hana i ka hapahā ʻehā.Eia kekahi, ua hoʻokomo pū ʻia ka papahana Jiutai 1 miliona ton unit ethylene glycol i ka hana.I ka wā e hiki mai ana, aia kekahi manaʻo e hoʻokomo ʻia ka Sanjiang 1 miliona ton MTO a me ka ethylene glycol unit e kākoʻo ana iā Shenghong Petrochemical i ka hana.Mai ka hapaha ʻehā a hiki i ka hapa mua o ka makahiki e hiki mai ana, ʻoi aku ka nui o ke kaomi ʻana o ka oethylene glycol.Ke hoʻomau nei ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka terminal nāwaliwali i ka mākeke olefin.Ma muli o ke kumu kūʻai haʻahaʻa o ka naphtha, ʻo ka ethylene glycol ka nele i ke kākoʻo kumu kūʻai, a paʻakikī hoʻi nā kumukūʻai lanahu home ikaika i ka hopena nui i ka ethylene glycol.ʻO ka manaʻolana o ke kumukūʻai nāwaliwali a me ka hoʻolako a me ke koi e mālama i ke kumukūʻai o ka ethylene glycol haʻahaʻa.
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Ka manawa hoʻouna: Dec-16-2022